![]() ![]() Lots of interesting technologies including Smart Dust (where’s that darn vacuum?), flying autonomous vehicles (UFO’s?), blockchain (…yet again), and quantum (leap) computing. Emerging Technologies Damned to the Hype Curve Quagmireįigure 2 shows the 2018 Gartner Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies, all promising technologies for which the vast majority will never reach their full potential.įigure 2 : 2018 Gartner Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies But it shouldn’t be this waybecause the ultimate cost is much higher than just the costs associated with the Peak of Inflated Expectations. The path to the Plateau of Productivity is a long slug, and many careers and hundreds of millions of dollars will be wasted along the journey. Note: Hats off to Gartner for institutionalizing the Hype Curve and using it as an effective way to show how screwed up IT is in adopting new technologies. It’ll help the Cubs win the World Series (okay, that one was true)Īnd the ultimate result? The technology is forced to traverse the infamous Gartner Hype Cycle, soaring to the Peak of Inflated and Totally Unrealistic Expectations and then traveling down the slippery slope into the Trough of Disillusionment (also known as the Trough of CLM: Career Limiting Moves), before finding its rightful footing and starts to deliver business value (see Figure 1).įigure 1 : Traversing the Gartner Hype Cycle It’s like a rite of passage – a new technology pops onto the scene and the “pundits,” analysts and venture capitalists (among others) immediately start to over-hype the technology: ![]()
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